
On the way up to a talk in St. Andrews on the train the other week I was pondering (again) the long term future of life in the universe. Its quite good fun to speculate and to try to play out all the different possibilities in your mind.
When I was a nipper I was pretty optimistic about human colonisation of the galaxy and a good dose of science fiction helped in this providing a very upbeat view for the future of the human race. Space was also supposed to be coming into our grasp in the real world. The Moon landings were long gone sure, but we were entering a new era of permanently crewed space stations and regular shuttle flights that were meant to lead to the long-term human colonisation of space.
Space colonisation in general I think is a pretty good thing for a number of reasons. Not only does it provide new opportunities to feed the human desire to learn and explore, but on a more practical side it would also allow much needed access to materials either in short or no supply to us here on Earth. It would also in the mid-long term ease current problems of resource competition on our home world and thus help diffuse or moderate many current of future conflicts. Having extensive and self-sustaining colonies off world would also help secure the future of the human race against the many possible planetary cataclysms that could plunge humanity into a tooth and claw struggle to survive and avoid total extinction.
Mars would be a pretty good place to go. And maybe some asteroids. Titan is also a suggestion as are other moons of the gas giants of our solar system, not forgetting our own Moon as well. Massive planetary engineering projects could also bring worlds such as Venus under control and made less inhospitable than they presently are.
From a Biblical point of view I consider space colonisation to be entirely consistent with and merely an expansion to new environments of our wider mandate to steward Creation well alongside the command to continue propagating (responsibly!) the human race and its culture.
Now, all that said I currently don't think it will happen. At least not for a very long time or in a 'Star Trek' sort of way i.e. with starships roaming the stars full of small communities furthering a utopian mission and lifestyle.
Why? Practicalities. Reality must bite unfortunately.
Setting aside for the moment the massive financial cost (which could be supplied by new uses for military budgets...hmm...) there is in addition a tremendous lack of political will to do this. Our technology is also not yet up to the task of long-term colonisation and the immediate need to develop that technology to an effective point of readiness is not there when our own world still holds much immediate potential.
All of these problems I am confident could be or perhaps even should be overcome in time or will be revealed not to actually be problems at all.
However there is an additional problem that I have come to think will constrain us to our own world or to our solar system at best despite intentions otherwise. That problem is the current physical biology of our species and the laws of physics that govern the universe.
Not only does the human body require extensive life support systems and resources for even short periods of time in low-Earth orbit but it also constrains the methods we can use to travel through space. To explore space within the lifespan of any individual would require speeds to be attained that would consume obscene amounts of fuel and time for the simplest of journeys. Currently all that fuel has to be hauled into orbit from Earth. It is conceivable that fuels could be generated in space but that requires an infrastructure in space that looking ahead we will not be able to widely implement for centuries if ever. Accelerations of spacecraft would also have to be limited to avoid harming or killing the crafts occupants. This would again constrain and limit time, fuel and methods of propulsion used.
The physical reality of the universe also imposes a speed limit on travel within that universe, that speed being the speed of light. Although faster than any rocket or ion engine we have yet implemented even at light speed the nearest stars are more than four years away. To accelerate any large object to the speed of light would not only also be prohibitively energy-intensive (light is massless so can do it willy nilly), but would also be perhaps unwise given the relativistic spacetime distortions that would be encountered at near-light speeds. So even at light speed you are looking at a journey of a minimum of four years - more when factoring in acceleration and braking times - with no absolute guarantee of success at the end. I don't envision a lot of folk signing up for that.
Without the development of new technologies that might translate some very abstract theoritical physics ideas on faster-than-light propulsion into a usable technology humans are going to be stuck in our own solar system for the far foreseeable future.
All that said however I am still confident that the galaxy will be colonised. And by intelligent beings from Earth, just not us. And maybe, that is a better way for it to be...